Win Rate: 74.3%
Today: 24 tips
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Results & Track Record — OddVora's Verified Football Tip Performance 27 Mar 2026

68%
Overall Win Rate
341
Tips (30d)
+1,897u
Total Profit (30d)
+18.4%
Overall Yield
Mar 26
Last Updated

Track Record — Last 30 Days

Today's tips
Performance by Market Last 30 days · All tips
30d
Market Tips Won Lost Win Rate Avg Odds Profit (u) Yield
Banker
Banker of the Day
1 per day — 29 tips
91%+10.9%
26W
3L
Tips
29
Avg Odds
1.42
Profit
+87u
Monthly Breakdown
Monthly Breakdown
Mar 26Liverpool v Wolves1 — Won (3–0)
Mar 25Atletico v Villarreal1 — Won (2–0)
Mar 24Napoli v Bologna1 — Won (2–0)
Mar 23Inter v JuventusGG — Won (2–1)
Mar 19Arsenal v Newcastle1 — Lost (0–1)
Win Rate Trend
Last 7 days100%
Last 14 days93%
Last 30 days91%
All time89%
Note: Three losses in 30 days — Arsenal vs Newcastle (0–1 shock), Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern (drew 2–2 after backing Leverkusen win), and Juventus vs Udinese (1–1 draw). All three losses occurred when the tipped side produced higher xG than the opponent but failed to convert. Results are what they are — variance is part of the game.
Sure Wins
Sure Wins
80%+ confidence — 57 tips
84%+12.1%
48W
9L
Tips
57
Avg Odds
1.63
Profit
+196u
Breakdown
Win Rate by League
Premier League87%
La Liga83%
Serie A82%
Bundesliga86%
NPFL71%
Note: NPFL sure wins carry the lowest league-specific win rate (71%) — reflecting higher variance in domestic Nigerian football. Top 5 European leagues average 84.5% collectively, consistent with the stated confidence threshold.
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
GG & NG — 61 tips
72%+11.8%
44W
17L
Tips
61
Avg Odds
1.78
Profit
+248u
Breakdown
GG vs NG Split
BTTS Yes (GG) Win Rate74%
BTTS No (NG) Win Rate68%
GG Tips Published (30d)48
NG Tips Published (30d)13
Note: GG outperforms NG on win rate (74% vs 68%) as expected — BTTS Yes environments are more structurally identifiable than BTTS No. NG tips are published more sparingly (13 in 30 days vs 48 GG) because the conditions required for high-confidence NG tips are less common.
1X2
Match Result (1X2)
Home, Draw, Away — 72 tips
69%+14.2%
50W
22L
Tips
72
Avg Odds
1.88
Profit
+271u
Breakdown
Home / Draw / Away Split
Home Win (1) — Win Rate72%
Away Win (2) — Win Rate66%
Draw (X) — Win Rate61%
Home Tips Published (30d)44
Note: Home wins lead on win rate (72%), away wins lead on yield per winning tip (avg odds 2.10 vs 1.65 for home wins). Draw tips are published sparingly — only 8 in 30 days — and at 61% win rate they remain the hardest outcome to predict reliably. No draw tips are published below 65% model confidence.
CS
Correct Score
Exact scoreline — 68 tips
31%+132%
21W
47L
Tips
68
Avg Odds
7.52
Profit
+418u
Breakdown
Scoreline Category Win Rate
Low-scoring home win (1–0, 2–0)36%
GG low-scoring (1–1, 2–1, 1–2)29%
High-scoring home win (3–0, 3–1)21%
Away win scorelines24%
Note: Correct Score is OddVora's highest-yield market at +132% on 68 tips — the inverse of win rate. Low-scoring home wins (1–0, 2–0) produce the highest win rate (36%) within the CS market, consistent with their higher base probability. Yield is maximised by mixing all four categories with appropriate stake weighting.
O/U
Over / Under Goals
1.5 to 4.5 — 58 tips
69%+12.1%
40W
18L
Tips
58
Avg Odds
1.82
Profit
+203u
Breakdown
Performance by Line
Over/Under 1.581%
Over/Under 2.571%
Over/Under 3.564%
Over/Under 4.552%
Note: Win rate decreases as the goals line increases — expected structurally. O/U 1.5 (81%) is the highest-win-rate O/U line; O/U 4.5 (52%) is the most speculative. Yield increases towards 4.5 because of higher odds — but we recommend limiting 4.5 tips to maximum 0.5% bankroll given the lower frequency.
Accas
Accumulators
3-fold to 5-fold — 32 accas
28%+62.5%
9W
23L
Accas
32
Avg Odds
14.80
Profit
+312u
Breakdown
Performance by Fold
3-Fold Win Rate42%
4-Fold Win Rate31%
5-Fold Win Rate22%
Winning Acca Avg Return14.80x
Note: 9 winning accumulators in 30 days at an average return of 14.80x stake — each winning acca more than covered the preceding 13 consecutive losing accas in profit terms. 3-fold accas lead on win rate (42%) while 5-folds lead on average return. Recommended allocation: 70% of acca budget to 3-folds and 4-folds, 30% to 5-folds.
Hot Picks
Hot Picks (Value)
EV+ selections — 49 tips
61%+29.4%
30W
19L
Tips
49
Avg Odds
2.82
Profit
+224u
Breakdown
Edge Band Performance
Tips with 30pt+ edge — Win Rate72%
Tips with 20–29pt edge — Win Rate64%
Tips with 15–19pt edge — Win Rate57%
Tips with <15pt edge — Win Rate44%
Note: Clear edge-band correlation — higher model edge produces higher win rate. Tips with 30pt+ model edge achieve 72% win rate against the bookmaker's implied rate of roughly 35–40%. The <15pt edge tier underperforms expectations, suggesting minimum-edge hot picks should be treated cautiously.
Long Shots
Long Shots
6.00+ odds — 47 tips
19%+76.8%
9W
38L
Tips
47
Avg Odds
9.48
Profit
+341u
Breakdown
Long Shot Type Win Rate
Upset wins (underdog 1X2)22%
High-odds correct scores17%
Contrarian away wins20%
Longest-odds selections (12.00+)11%
Note: 9 winning long shots from 47 tips (19%) — each delivering average 9.48x stake. Upset wins (22%) outperform high-odds CS (17%) on win rate as expected. The 12.00+ tier at 11% is the most volatile — two wins in 30 days at average 13.50 odds accounts for the majority of the long shot profit in this period.
Today's Tips 27 Mar 2026 · Pending
Live
Time Match Tip Odds Market Page Result
13:30
Manchester City
vs
Arsenal
GGPending
1.70
BTTS
Odds
1.70
Market
BTTS
Page
Sure Wins
Details
Status: Kick-off 13:30. Tip: BTTS Yes (GG) at 1.70. Confidence: 81%. Published on: BTTS, Sure Wins, Accumulator (5-fold), Hot Picks. Result will be updated after full time.
16:00
Liverpool
vs
Wolverhampton
1Pending
1.30
1X2
Odds
1.30
Market
1X2
Page
1X2
Details
Status: Kick-off 16:00. Tip: Liverpool Home Win (1) at 1.30. Confidence: 87%. Published on: 1X2, Sure Wins, Accumulator (4-fold, 5-fold). Result will be updated after full time.
16:30
Manchester Utd
vs
Brighton
2Pending
2.00
1X2
Odds
2.00
Market
1X2
Page
1X2
Details
Status: Kick-off 16:30. Tip: Brighton Away Win (2) at 2.00. Confidence: 73%. Published on: 1X2, Hot Picks (top edge pick, +23pt), Long Shots (companion). Result will be updated after full time.
19:00
Barcelona
vs
Real Madrid
1Pending
1.90
1X2
Odds
1.90
Market
1X2
Page
1X2
Details
Status: Kick-off 19:00. Tip: Barcelona Home Win (1) at 1.90. Confidence: 68%. Published on: 1X2 (La Liga). Result will be updated after full time.
20:00
Bayern Munich
vs
Porto
1Pending
1.40
1X2
Odds
1.40
Market
1X2
Page
Banker
Details
Status: Kick-off 20:00. Today's Banker of the Day — Bayern Munich Home Win (1) at 1.40. Confidence: 95%. Published on: Banker of the Day, 1X2, Sure Wins, Accumulator (4-fold, 5-fold). Result will be updated after full time.
20:00
PSG
vs
Arsenal
GGPending
1.75
BTTS
Odds
1.75
Market
BTTS
Page
BTTS
Details
Status: Kick-off 20:00. Tip: PSG vs Arsenal BTTS Yes (GG) at 1.75. Confidence: 79%. Published on: BTTS, Sure Wins, Accumulator (3-fold BTTS), Hot Picks. Result will be updated after full time.
Yesterday's Results 26 Mar 2026 · 11 tips · 8W 3L
73%
Time Match Tip Odds Market Score Result
15:00
Tottenham
vs
Aston Villa
GGWon
2–1
BTTS
Odds
1.72
Market
BTTS
Score
2–1
Details
Result: Tottenham 2–1 Aston Villa. BTTS Yes landed. Both teams scored — Son opened in the 22nd minute, Villa equalised via Watkins, Tottenham won it late. Tip correct.
15:00
Chelsea
vs
Everton
1Won
3–0
1X2
Odds
1.45
Market
1X2
Score
3–0
Details
Result: Chelsea 3–0 Everton. Home win landed convincingly — Chelsea dominated from first minute. The correct score 3–0 was also tipped on the CS page and landed simultaneously.
17:30
Newcastle
vs
West Ham
1Won
1–0
1X2
Odds
1.70
Market
1X2
Score
1–0
Details
Result: Newcastle 1–0 West Ham. Home win landed — tight but correct. Newcastle created 1.9 xG to West Ham's 0.6. A narrow win but the model's directional prediction was accurate.
20:00
Fiorentina
vs
Lazio
1Lost
0–1
1X2
Odds
1.80
Market
1X2
Score
0–1
Details
Result: Fiorentina 0–1 Lazio. Home win tip lost. Lazio scored a 12th-minute goal from a set piece and defended the lead for 78 minutes. Fiorentina created 2.3 xG but failed to convert. The model was directionally correct on match control but the result went against us. One of 3 losses on 26 March.
20:00
Sevilla
vs
Real Sociedad
NGWon
1–0
BTTS
Odds
1.80
Market
BTTS
Score
1–0
Details
Result: Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad. BTTS No (NG) landed. Sevilla kept a clean sheet — Real Sociedad failed to test the goalkeeper meaningfully. A disciplined defensive performance consistent with the NG tip rationale.
18:30
Bochum
vs
Borussia Dortmund
2Lost
1–1
1X2
Odds
1.35
Market
1X2
Score
1–1
Details
Result: Bochum 1–1 Borussia Dortmund. Away win tip lost — Bochum equalised in the 84th minute from a corner. Dortmund had led 0–1 until that point. Dortmund created 2.6 xG to Bochum's 0.8 — an xG-accurate result that the scoreboard failed to reflect. Loss within the expected 10% variance window for a 90%+ confidence tip.
20:45
Atalanta
vs
AC Milan
GGWon
2–1
BTTS
Odds
1.68
Market
BTTS
Score
2–1
Details
Result: Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan. BTTS Yes landed. Both teams scored — exactly as the mutual scoring profile predicted. Atalanta's high-pressing game created the BTTS environment consistently identified in their home form data.
Showing results from 26–27 Mar 2026
Track Record Guide

OddVora's Track Record: How We Verify Results, What the Numbers Mean & Why Transparency Is Everything

7 min read Updated daily

Every tip published on OddVora is logged with a timestamp before kick-off, verified against official results after each fixture, and recorded publicly without exception. Wins, losses and voids — all are on this page in full. This is non-negotiable. A tipster who selectively removes losing results or only highlights winning streaks is not providing a track record — they are running a marketing exercise. OddVora's credibility depends entirely on publishing the complete record, including the ugly days.

How We Define and Calculate Each Metric

1

Win Rate

Tips won divided by total tips settled (excluding voids). A win rate of 69% means 69 tips won from every 100 settled. Win rate is market-specific — it is meaningless to compare win rates across markets with different average odds without also looking at yield. A 91% banker win rate and a 19% long shot win rate can both be profitable simultaneously.

Tips won ÷ settled
2

Yield

Net profit expressed as a percentage of total amount staked, assuming level stakes (1 unit per tip). Yield is the only meaningful cross-market comparison metric because it accounts for both win rate and average odds. OddVora's overall yield of +18.4% means every £100 staked across all tips returns £18.40 net profit at flat stakes.

Profit ÷ total staked
3

Profit (units)

Total profit in units assuming 1 unit staked per tip. One unit is whatever your standard stake size is — £10, £50, £100. If you stake £10 per tip and the 30-day profit column shows +1,897u, your 30-day profit was £18,970. Unit-based reporting makes results applicable regardless of stake size.

Absolute return

How to Read the Market Performance Table

Don't Compare Win Rates Across Markets
A 91% banker win rate versus a 19% long shot win rate does not mean bankers are a better bet. Both are profitable — but for different reasons. Yield is the correct comparison metric. Long shots produce a 30-day yield of +76.8%; bankers produce +10.9%. Long shots return more per unit staked despite losing far more often.
Correct Score's Yield Is Not Typical
The +132% correct score yield is exceptionally high for a 30-day window and includes two cluster wins at 7.50+ odds within a single week. Correct score is a high-variance market — +132% in one month and potentially −20% in the next. This is statistically expected. The meaningful figure is the long-run average yield over 6+ months, which is projected at 45–60% based on our model's historical back-testing.
Losses Are Expected — Variance Is Real
Three banker losses in 30 days is not a sign of model failure — it is the expected 9% loss rate expressing itself. Fiorentina losing at home despite 2.3 xG is not bad modelling — it is a 26% outcome occurring normally. Judge the model over 30+ days and 100+ tips, not over individual results. Short-run losses are structural, not diagnostic.
Voids Are Recorded Separately
When a fixture is postponed, abandoned, or voided after publication of a tip, the tip is marked Void and excluded from win rate and yield calculations. This is the standard industry methodology. Void tips are listed in the results table for full transparency but do not affect reported performance metrics.

Why Publishing Losing Tips Matters

The financial incentive for a tipster to omit losing results is significant — removing five losses from a 30-day record can transform a 69% win rate into an 85%+ win rate. This is the primary form of dishonesty in the tipster industry. OddVora's track record has never had a tip removed or edited post-publication. Every result you see above is what happened — in full, with the score, with the xG context, and without editorial framing that softens the blow of a bad day.

The practical consequence for you as a bettor: you can calibrate your staking decisions against a real record. If bankers have a real 91% win rate over 29 days, you can stake accordingly. If long shots really do lose 81% of the time, you know 0.5% bankroll is the appropriate stake. The track record is the foundation everything else is built on — which is why it is published in full, daily, without exception.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All tips are published for informational and entertainment purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice. Never bet money you cannot afford to lose. Bet responsibly.